BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Story City Roland-Story
Class: 2A Class Rank: 9 Conference: Heart of Iowa Record: (34-13-0) Overall: (65-34-0) Overall Strength = 72.04
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2001 Home W * 83.42 22 0 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton 11.56 10.44
2 09/07/2001 Away L 62.55 14 27 3A 22 ( 60- 37- 0) Boone -9.30 -3.70
3 09/14/2001 Home W * * 78.34 34 14 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 6.48 13.52
4 09/21/2001 Away W * 94.17 41 0 2A 46 ( 38- 52- 0) East Marshall 22.32 18.68
5 09/28/2001 Home W 107.94 33 0 3A 18 ( 65- 31- 0) Huxley Ballard 36.09 -3.09
6 10/05/2001 Home W * * 83.80 40 16 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk 11.94 12.06
7 10/12/2001 Away L * 50.10 6 28 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall -21.75 -0.25
8 10/19/2001 Away W 73.42 21 17 ZZ 17 ( 21- 16- 0) Iowa Falls 1.57 2.43
9 10/26/2001 Home L * * 62.48 20 21 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB -9.38 8.38
10 09/06/2002 Away L * 50.47 13 27 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -21.38 7.38
11 09/13/2002 Home W 86.99 34 7 3A 51 ( 44- 51- 0) Hampton-Dumont 15.13 11.87
12 09/20/2002 Away W * * 109.40 48 0 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 37.54 10.46
13 09/27/2002 Home W * * 69.48 18 12 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB -2.38 8.38
14 10/04/2002 Away W * 73.54 27 13 2A 38 ( 45- 50- 0) Bondurant-Farrar 1.68 12.32
15 10/11/2002 Away W * 83.85 43 28 2A 19 ( 68- 33- 0) Prairie City-Monroe 11.99 3.01
16 10/18/2002 Home W * 92.05 39 16 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall 20.19 2.81
17 10/25/2002 Home W * * 85.80 39 13 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk 13.94 12.06
18 11/01/2002 Away L 68.82 8 9 3A 40 ( 61- 39- 0) Carlisle -3.03 2.03
19 11/06/2002 Home L 48.08 7 41 1A 3 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP -23.77 -10.23
20 09/05/2003 Home W * 64.42 28 25 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -7.44 10.44
21 09/12/2003 Away W 97.05 34 0 3A 51 ( 44- 51- 0) Hampton-Dumont 25.19 8.81
22 09/19/2003 Home W * * 100.34 42 0 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 28.48 13.52
23 09/26/2003 Away L * * 65.54 26 27 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB -6.32 5.32
24 10/03/2003 Home W * 90.48 41 7 2A 38 ( 45- 50- 0) Bondurant-Farrar 18.62 15.38
25 10/10/2003 Home L * 56.80 12 21 2A 19 ( 68- 33- 0) Prairie City-Monroe -15.06 6.06
26 10/17/2003 Away W * 86.10 14 0 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall 14.25 -0.25
27 10/24/2003 Away W * * 83.85 35 14 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk 11.99 9.01
28 10/31/2003 Home L 52.77 14 28 3A 40 ( 61- 39- 0) Carlisle -19.09 5.09
29 09/03/2004 Away L * 56.47 6 14 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -15.38 7.38
30 09/10/2004 Home L * 52.05 0 17 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall -19.81 2.81
31 09/17/2004 Away W * * 89.40 28 0 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 17.54 10.46
32 09/24/2004 Home W * 88.48 39 7 2A 38 ( 45- 50- 0) Bondurant-Farrar 16.62 15.38
33 10/01/2004 Home W * 54.49 14 6 1A 44 ( 32- 64- 0) Ogden -17.36 25.36
34 10/08/2004 Away W * * 70.85 14 6 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk -1.01 9.01
35 10/15/2004 Away W * 99.85 45 14 2A 19 ( 68- 33- 0) Prairie City-Monroe 27.99 3.01
36 10/22/2004 Home W 71.34 29 8 A 27 ( 32- 59- 0) Grundy Center -0.51 21.51
37 10/29/2004 Away W * * 98.54 54 22 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB 26.68 5.32
38 11/03/2004 Home L * * 41.34 7 24 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -30.52 13.52
39 09/02/2005 Home W * 75.42 20 6 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton 3.56 10.44
40 09/09/2005 Away W * 98.10 33 7 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall 26.25 -0.25
41 09/16/2005 Home W * * 65.34 28 21 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -6.52 13.52
42 09/23/2005 Away W * 79.54 34 14 2A 38 ( 45- 50- 0) Bondurant-Farrar 7.68 12.32
43 09/30/2005 Away W * 70.55 42 21 1A 44 ( 32- 64- 0) Ogden -1.31 22.31
44 10/07/2005 Home L * * 41.80 6 24 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk -30.06 12.06
45 10/14/2005 Home W * 71.80 35 29 2A 19 ( 68- 33- 0) Prairie City-Monroe -0.06 6.06
46 10/21/2005 Away L 51.40 19 21 A 27 ( 32- 59- 0) Grundy Center -20.46 18.46
47 10/28/2005 Home W * * 82.48 41 22 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB 10.62 8.38
48 09/01/2006 Away W * 82.47 18 0 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton 10.62 7.38
49 09/08/2006 Home L * 67.05 7 9 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall -4.81 2.81
50 09/15/2006 Away L * * 45.40 6 22 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -26.46 10.46
51 09/22/2006 Home L * 40.94 20 28 2 2A 49 ( 18- 27- 0) Eldora South Hardin -30.92 22.92
52 09/29/2006 Home W 76.85 21 0 2A 39 ( 21- 34- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden 4.99 16.01
53 10/06/2006 Away W 89.95 35 0 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson 18.10 16.90
54 10/13/2006 Away L * 44.55 16 21 1A 44 ( 32- 64- 0) Ogden -27.31 22.31
55 10/20/2006 Home L 52.99 21 28 3A 51 ( 44- 51- 0) Hampton-Dumont -18.87 11.87
56 10/27/2006 Away W * 59.17 20 14 2A 46 ( 38- 52- 0) East Marshall -12.68 18.68
57 08/31/2007 Home L * 55.42 14 20 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -16.44 10.44
58 09/07/2007 Away W * 105.10 33 0 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall 33.25 -0.25
59 09/14/2007 Home W * * 79.34 34 13 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 7.48 13.52
60 09/21/2007 Away W * 55.00 29 26 2A 49 ( 18- 27- 0) Eldora South Hardin -16.86 19.86
61 09/28/2007 Away W 71.91 36 23 2A 39 ( 21- 34- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden 0.05 12.95
62 10/05/2007 Home W 67.90 23 7 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson -3.96 19.96
63 10/12/2007 Home W * 74.49 56 28 1A 44 ( 32- 64- 0) Ogden 2.64 25.36
64 10/19/2007 Away L 48.05 12 27 3A 51 ( 44- 51- 0) Hampton-Dumont -23.81 8.81
65 10/26/2007 Home W * 78.12 42 14 2A 46 ( 38- 52- 0) East Marshall 6.26 21.74
66 10/31/2007 Away L 62.54 14 21 2A 18 ( 59- 44- 0) Carroll Kuemper -9.32 2.32
67 08/29/2008 Home W 90.34 45 18 1A 19 ( 50- 45- 0) Eagle Grove 18.49 8.51 non-district
68 09/05/2008 Away W 79.66 10 7 ZZ 7 ( 76- 21- 0) Lake City Southern C 7.80 -4.80 non-district
69 09/12/2008 Home W 60.21 14 0 2A 52 ( 9- 28- 0) Manly Central Spring -11.65 25.65
70 09/19/2008 Away W * 83.00 31 0 2A 49 ( 18- 27- 0) Eldora South Hardin 11.14 19.86
71 09/26/2008 Home W * 76.42 21 6 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton 4.56 10.44
72 10/03/2008 Away W 82.64 21 14 1A 7 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford 10.78 -3.78
73 10/10/2008 Home W 82.09 28 13 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage 10.23 4.77
74 10/17/2008 Away W * * 71.40 16 6 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -0.46 10.46
75 10/24/2008 Home W 66.90 29 14 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson -4.96 19.96
76 10/29/2008 Home W 105.37 49 13 2A 12 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman 33.52 2.48
77 11/03/2008 Away W * * 86.40 28 3 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert 14.54 10.46
78 11/07/2008 Home W 86.54 17 0 2A 11 ( 38- 32- 0) SumnerFredericksburg 14.68 2.32
79 11/17/2008 Neutral L 73.79 7 24 3A 2 (106- 15- 0) Solon 1.93 -18.93
80 08/28/2009 Away L 52.40 0 14 1A 19 ( 50- 45- 0) Eagle Grove -19.46 5.46 nd
81 09/04/2009 Home L 54.60 24 43 ZZ 7 ( 76- 21- 0) Lake City Southern C -17.26 -1.74 nd
82 09/11/2009 Away L 43.26 20 26 2 2A 52 ( 9- 28- 0) Manly Central Spring -28.59 22.59
83 09/18/2009 Home W * 92.94 44 0 2A 49 ( 18- 27- 0) Eldora South Hardin 21.08 22.92
84 09/25/2009 Away L * 63.47 20 21 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton -8.38 7.38
85 10/02/2009 Home W 89.59 30 13 1A 7 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford 17.73 -0.73
86 10/09/2009 Away L 55.14 6 21 2A 17 ( 50- 45- 0) Osage -16.71 1.71
87 10/16/2009 Home W * * 63.34 19 14 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -8.52 13.52
88 10/23/2009 Away L 53.95 6 7 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson -17.90 16.90
89 10/28/2009 Away L 59.45 18 48 2A 1 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -12.41 -17.59
90 08/27/2010 Home W * 82.42 34 13 1A 21 ( 48- 45- 0) South Hamilton 10.56 10.44 ND
91 09/03/2010 Away W * 60.54 7 6 2A 38 ( 45- 50- 0) Bondurant-Farrar -11.32 12.32 ND
92 09/10/2010 Away W * 93.00 41 0 2A 49 ( 18- 27- 0) Eldora South Hardin 21.14 19.86
93 09/17/2010 Home W * * 83.80 24 0 2A 30 ( 49- 49- 0) Alleman North Polk 11.94 12.06
94 09/24/2010 Away L * * 64.54 12 14 2A 22 ( 55- 39- 0) Baxter CMB -7.32 5.32
95 10/01/2010 Home W * 75.76 26 21 2A 7 ( 58- 41- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 3.90 1.10
96 10/08/2010 Home W * 70.12 28 8 2A 46 ( 38- 52- 0) East Marshall -1.74 21.74
97 10/15/2010 Away L * 44.10 3 31 2A 14 ( 61- 38- 0) West Marshall -27.75 -0.25
98 10/22/2010 Home L * * 54.34 16 20 2A 35 ( 49- 51- 0) Gilbert -17.52 13.52
99 10/27/2010 Away L 51.60 12 18 2A 40 ( 35- 17- 0) Pella Christian -20.26 14.26
Averages 72.04 24.3 14.7
Best game: 109.40 = 48 point win over Gilbert
Worst game: 40.94 = 8 point loss to Eldora South Hardin
Team stdev: 17.22